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Holyrood Polling – 30March Baseline

Written by on 4 April 2021

The Survation poll from 30 March gives us a baseline for how the parties are doing in the Holyrood campaign. Their fieldwork was done on 29-30 March. It finds:

  • the SNP ahead in both constituency and list votes, on 49% and 37% respectively.
  • the Tories sit on 21% and 18% , neck and neck with Labour on 20% and 19%.
  • the Greens are on 11% in the list which puts them ahead of the Liberal Democrats who are on 9% and 8%.
  • the Alba Party is reported as 3% which is well short of the 5% that is needed to have a chance of winning List seats.

However it’s early days and things could quickly change.

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Survation also report on the respective popularity of party leaders:

These polling figures for Alex Salmond don’t look very helpful for the Alba Party. His ratings are worse than Boris Johnson.

Holyrood Inquiry effects….

The Survation poll included a question asking if Nicola Sturgeon and Alex Salmond had gone up / down in people’s estimation after recent appearances during the Holyrood Committee Inquiry and the independent Ministerial Conduct Inquiry. Again, not good news for Mr Salmond.

A Help or a Hindrance?

And finally, when asked if Alex Salmond helps or hinders the cause of Scottish Independence, he is seen as hindering it. Altogether an extraordinary – and sobering – result for the former FM who brought us an SNP majority administration and then negotiated the Edinburgh Agreement for the 2014 referendum.

We’ll keep you up to date with polls as they are reported. The figures in these graphs are from Survation 30March 2021 Poll as reported in What Scotland Thinks.